Professor who’s been right about every election since 1984 reveals his 2020 prediction

Professor who's been right about every election since 1984 reveals his 2020 prediction 1

 

American University history professor Allan Lichtman developed a system that has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984 (with one exception: he predicted Al Gore, who did win the popular vote but lost to George W. Bush. Licthman stands by that prediction). Licthman tells CNN's Michael Smerconish that his system predicts President Donald Trump will lose the White House this year. #CNN #News

84 Comments on "Professor who’s been right about every election since 1984 reveals his 2020 prediction"

  1. We ARE living in interesting times – hope it will end soon, I like my politics dull and boring.

    • @Steven Wiederholt When was what?

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:25 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • @methead lee Those ‘interesting times’; getting soo tired of ‘winning’, ie the total chaos in govt.

    • @JETPAC MOZi No, I just don’t like waking up each day to ‘Breaking News’ , when Trumpf has had another brainfart on Twitter. When you know MOST of the guys in Govt, it’s usually becoz they screwed up big time again. I don’t want to know these guys’ names; I want a govt to work.

    • 33lex55 Love his tweets ! First time you actually know what your president is thinking! Also all of them tweet (; his is just more popular because he is obviously bold .

  2. Lost me at “When you buy my book…”

    • Instantly thought what a grifter, like those merchants who sell MAGA hats instead of giving them away.
      But lets face it, as long as capitalism exists money matters, so i dont blame this guy or others who have side hustles, or cash in on their thoughts. Lets face it this guy is a capitalist Nazi, he concentrated these words in his book for his gain.😁

    • Chris Vienneau | August 8, 2020 at 10:16 PM | Reply

      @Daniel Dickson Professors write books. It’s kind of one of the things they do…especially history professors.

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:26 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • @J C There absolutely nothing wrong with writing a book. But the way he blatantly plugged it was kinda cringy. If he has a new book, you would expect the host to mention it before or after the interview.

    • @J C Also, he could have said, “If you read my book…” or “In my book…”. But instead, he said, “If you BUY my book”. I guess that’s the part that bothered my. Just my opinion.

  3. If there’s a day I should risk my life in this pandemic, it’s Election Day.

    VOTE AND REGISTER NOW!!!!

    • cows need a nice cheeseburger | August 8, 2020 at 10:41 PM | Reply

      YUM Liberal Tears change your name to “YUM Trumptard Tears”

    • Charles Charlemagne | August 8, 2020 at 10:43 PM | Reply

      @greyeyed123 “like omg who cares that some anarchists took over six blocks in a major city! Lol, like it was TOTALLY only six blocks! Chill out yall!”….thats what you sound like. Letting anarchists take over blocks for a month where people were KILLED….is not ok. You have no idea what leadership is, you are clearly an air head teenage social justice warrior with no clue of the real world outside social media.

    • Alison Friedman | August 8, 2020 at 10:43 PM | Reply

      Yoji Shinkawa good point! It’s too bad the comment section on this post turned into a political argument. If you don’t know me and choose to insult me on YouTube, I’ll turn that comment into a graphic T-shirt and sell it! 😁

    • Tom Eisenmenger | August 8, 2020 at 10:47 PM | Reply

      ​@Okima Wilcox It had nothing to do with slavery. It was designed to be a way for state governments to select the President. For the first few presidential elections, state legislatures actually picked the electors – it wasn’t until later that electors were selected by popular vote in states.

    • cows need a nice cheeseburger | August 8, 2020 at 10:48 PM | Reply

      Alison Friedman you dropped this queen, 👑

  4. “We have 15 cases, it will soon be down to 0. This will all just disappear.”

  5. This guy must be the last ‘predictor’ because so many of them were wrong in 2000 and in 2016.

    • Jose Martinez TRUMP 2020

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:27 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • @SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 “Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat.”

      Are you serious? With all the cases of violence against people wearing MAGA hats? Nobody, and I mean there is no video of this anywhere, is getting hurt or harassed for voting democrat. It simply doesn’t happen. While there are umpteen videos of Trump supporters (including a bunch of escaped North Koreans) getting beaten, chased, egged, and attacked.

      I’m a formal liberal and liberals are the bullies this time.

    • Baddaddy She should do her research regarding Joes racist statements and horrible policies that hurt the black community immensely. Obama had plenty of scandals as well, but some people choose to live in a false reality full of “Trump and Putin” and “Orange man bad” fallacies they continue to pedal. I’m not sure how some can’t see how all their claims about Trump actually exist in Biden, so those that declare Biden as “a good candidate” while saying Trump is “mentally deranged” clearly have some cognitive issues themselves or are such indoctrinated Democrats that they subconsciously view the world from a skewed reality. They’re the kind of people who don’t “think,” they just “know” if you catch my drift.

  6. You're Gonna Like This Comment | August 8, 2020 at 6:14 PM | Reply

    I predicted every election since Reagan as well. It’s called common sense.

  7. Blade Runner | August 8, 2020 at 6:32 PM | Reply

    If each of us don’t care for the people, what’s the point of a nation?

    VOTE.

    • Anthony Campanelli | August 8, 2020 at 10:01 PM | Reply

      Vote for Trump if you want a nation

    • @Anthony Campanelli Trump 2020.

    • Dog faced pony soldier | August 8, 2020 at 10:07 PM | Reply

      Cool, i’ll VOTE for Trump.

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:26 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • Common Sense is not Common | August 8, 2020 at 10:46 PM | Reply

      Karen Schumer why would you vote for the party of slavery, jim crow, segregation, the KKK. Why would you vote for a man who can barely string together a sentence? Why would you say black lives matter every four years and then vote to defund the police. Look at democrat run cities, is that what yoou want?

  8. professor may predict the current President will have another four years? lovely.

  9. “When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace.” Jimi Hendrix

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:24 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • Ah the wisdom of 20 something year old artist children that die of drug overdoses before 30.

    • amoskowitz0103 | August 8, 2020 at 10:35 PM | Reply

      Well now I can rest easy, I know what a drug-addled musician who died of a drug overdose thinks about things. Don’t know how I made it this far without that golden nugget.

      I’ll just bet anything that he would have supported both Obama and Biden.

    • exclusivesuperblend | August 8, 2020 at 10:47 PM | Reply

      A Bite Of Life 😂✌🏾 byedon😂

    • whickervision no , I just don’t believe the news reports him fairly and I think he’s a loud mouth and talks about himself too much but he’s done good with the economy till Covid and he stands up to China ! Trump understands the value of blue collar jobs and democrats want to get rid of them and by that I mean send them to a China so yes I am voting for Trump and who ever else runs in 24 and 28 and 32 and so on and so on because the Democratic Party hates America and is hell bend on changing it in to a socialist country so they can gain power for themselves they don’t want people have jobs and money because if we did we would need down and they need us more than we need them so if they make us all poor and they’re the only ones with resources and work beholden to them or enslaved of them thus giving them all the power to rule over us jobs jobs jobs that’s what keeps freedom jobs are good you got money you got a way to protect yourself and your always be free and what are the two things Democrats are attacking both jobs and guns there will be blood shed before we become a socialist country CNN needs to realize that Democrats need to realize that Big City liberals need to realize that. there’s more more small town hillbillies then there are big city college educated liberal and America is great always was great and will always be great because we will always be free one way or another please wake up and quit voting for the liberals it’s there city that blacks get killed not ours . Blacks and whites get along great in Texas my boss is black and he’s a great man people are coming to Texas because the liberals failed them and they we always fail the people because they steal for the people they started the Kkk they started Jim Crow , LBJ is on record say if those N word want to vote I will have them Voting Democrat for 200 years wake up people the Democratic Party is pure evil

  10. LifeSavor ASMR | August 8, 2020 at 7:23 PM | Reply

    I remember when he picked Trump and I had such a sinking feeling in my stomach

  11. we have to vote like we never voted before

    • SmileMan64 aka BenjaMan64 | August 8, 2020 at 10:26 PM | Reply

      Go to Vote.org and/or voteamerica.com to confirm your voting registration data and find out about mail-in voting. There’s early voting in 40 states + DC. Check out your state: https://ballotpedia.org/Early_voting

      Dems in red/swing states, switch your party affiliation to ‘R’ for the election. You can switch back later. Lowers your chance of getting purged. Here’s how to do that: https://www.usa.gov/change-voter-registration#item-214523

      Voting in person and worried about being harassed? Wear a red hat. #WearRedVoteBlue

      Please copy and share if possible.

    • No need to vote. Dems have Vote Harvesting: as soon real votes are counted and they know how many votes they need to win, ✨Just Like Magic✨ votes for the Democrat are “discovered” and then get delivered by the truckload. That’s how they flipped six Red seats in California in 2018.

    • Ken Albertsen | August 8, 2020 at 10:30 PM | Reply

      you’re right, Eli. a simple majority for Biden won’t cut it. It will have to be a landslide victory for Biden, otherwise Fwump will tie things up in court for months. He’s already admitted it.

    • Nah, Ken Albertsen. Dems already got their national machine in place. See my comment above.

    • Trump 2020

  12. Bottom line: Buy m book

  13. Kevin's Journal | August 8, 2020 at 8:07 PM | Reply

    How well this ages come November 2020, will be incredibly interesting to see!

  14. Trump always gets that ferret-face when he is called a liar.

  15. America (USA), vote this time. As if your life depended on it. Because it does, if you haven’t noticed ahead.
    // The rest of the World 🌍

  16. Can anyone else hear anything that they’re saying the volume so low

  17. Hoover E Londono | August 8, 2020 at 9:11 PM | Reply

    Biden can’t debate himself he cant put together one sensical phrase

  18. Okima Wilcox | August 8, 2020 at 9:41 PM | Reply

    “I’m putting a caveat on my prediction”. What’s this guy doing, running a 1-900 psychic line?

  19. Al Gore lost his home State tells u what people that knew him didn’t like him.

  20. He’s right everytime, except for the time he was wrong in 2000 and when he covered why he might be wrong if he was wrong in 2016

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