Stark warnings, bleak numbers as Ontario releases new modelling

Stark warnings, bleak numbers as Ontario releases new modelling 1


Ontario health officials take questions on new modelling data, showing that daily cases could surge to over 6,000 by December.


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17 Comments on "Stark warnings, bleak numbers as Ontario releases new modelling"

  1. 9000 canadians died of influenza in 2018.

    • @mdo686 k?

    • 287k Canadians were projected to die in 2020 pre-Covid. When the final stats for 2020 come out, the truth will be known. The bad news is. Truth is no longer relevant in an age of feelings.

    • and how many died in 1918 was that not influenza ?

    • Call Me Ishmael | November 12, 2020 at 8:10 PM | Reply

      @Alan Johnson Spanish Flu was an exceptional strain of influenza. Nothing like it has been seen since. And COVID most certainly doesn’t come close to it. If it was, COVID wouldn’t need absurdly broad death definitions to artificially pad its numbers.

    • @Alan Johnson We can’t get truth today why would you even think for one minute history was actually accurate.

  2. Covid without restrictions would kill 40 thousand canadians. Less then 1%. Around 0.1%

    • Nice to see you fixed your math!

    • @Ken Kubesh thanks for pointing it out.

    • Call Me Ishmael | November 12, 2020 at 8:13 PM | Reply

      @JOHN SHEPARD Now I wish you would cite the 2018 figures correctly:

      2,298 influenza deaths and 6,213 pneumonia deaths; or
      8,511 influenza and pneumonia deaths.

      It’s perfectly acceptable to use influenza and pneumonia as one item, because that’s what Statistics Canada itself does. It combines influenza and pneumonia into one larger group because the two are closely related. But that combined number is 8,511 and must be stated as being influenza and pneumonia, not just influenza alone.

    • @Call Me Ishmael i would state it if i had a source that told me the exact numbers. Not one site i look at shows the stats divided.


  4. All of the modeling has been wrong thus far.
    Deaths always increase at this time of year.
    Hospitals always fill up at this time of year.
    Cases are going up – which means immunity is going up.
    None of the European interventions appear to show any real effect.
    Why aren’t you recommending Vitamin D? Vitamin D deficiencies have a huge correlation to death/negative results.

  5. anyone saying this is just influenza ,was it not influenza in 1918 ,and how did that turn out ?

    • Call Me Ishmael | November 12, 2020 at 8:09 PM | Reply

      You do know that Spanish Flu was an entirely different thing, right? Also, you might want to take a close look at how Ontario defines a COVID death. Calling that definition absurdly broad is an understatement.

  6. im not the smartest but even i can see this is going to go up and down many times before its over …

  7. Creative accounting , by a disorganized organization, The math never adde up from day 1

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