This is Joe Biden’s best path to win in 2020

In 2016, Donald Trump won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, three states Republican's hadn't won in years. While many believe Democratic nominee Joe Biden's likeliest win would come from taking back the midwest, Chris Cillizza explains why that conventional wisdom may not be Biden's best bet.

SOURCES AND FURTHER READING:
Why the Midwest is not *the* 2020 battleground

2016 Presidential Election Results

THE POST- POLITICAL REALIGNMENT ELECTORAL COLLEGE MAP

Arizona Senate – McSally vs. Kelly

270toWin: Arizona

About me:
I was named "best dressed" in 7th grade. That, along with being CNN's editor at large and author of the daily "Point" newsletter are my proudest achievements. Look for me here every Tuesday and Thursday to find out what’s really going down in politics.

CREDITS
Writer: Chris Cillizza
The Point team: Leigh Munsil and Allison Gordon
Editor: Michelle Cho
Producer: Arielle Sacks

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80 comments

    1. @Dark Tenki People like you bring no meat to the table..you have absolutely no knowledge of anything other than putting people down with your made up words…such wit.

    2. Hey why cant you and your disgraceful “news” station ever give the unbiased truth? Do you sleep at night knowing you are constantly lying to the people of the US? If i were you i wouldnt be able to

    3. hey, do you hate your job as much as Chris Cuomo does? your just in it for the paycheck right? you probably get nauseous on the way to work…

    4. @HemiHead664 Well, Bernie “the socialist” was driving around in a $172,000 Audi R8 afterwards…so he did make good use of his “free” campaign money. I wonder if everyone in Cuba drives one of them.

  1. The rust belt is decayed because we exported all those manufacturing jobs to low wage countries, dont listen to the establishment

    1. @laksh nayyar It’s actually kinda scary how out of touch and unintelligent liberals are 😳
      tinyurl.com/y8fr4x82 🎶

    2. @String Monkey Yea, and we’ve gotten cheap goods in return. The middle class was able to flourish because we weren’t spending $500 on an American made dishwasher. It works both ways, and money rules. Adapt or die.

    3. the rust is full of religious fruitcakes that’s why. No innovation but instead whining and complaining.

    1. IRS targets Obama’s enemies….Benghazi….Spying on the AP….The ATF “Fast and Furious” scheme…..Sebelius demands payment….The Pigford Agriculture Department Scandal….The General Services Administration Las Vegas Spending Spree…..Veterans Affairs in Disney World and neglecting vets….Solyndra….New Black Panthers Voter Intimidation…The hacking of Sharyl Attkisson’s computer….Obama’s LIES about the Affordable Care Act….“I’ll Pass My Own Laws”….NSA Spying on American People….. Foreign Policy….Lack of solidarity with Israel…Disaster with the Arab Spring…Crimea….Leaving Iraq too soon and letting ISIS take over….Handling of Syrian Red Line…Calling ISIS “JV”…Failing to Recognize ISIS as a Radical (or Devout) Muslim Movement…Returning the bust of Churchill to the Brits…..Lack of Confidence by NATO nations…Signing a Disastrous Nuclear Deal with the Mullahs of Iran… Paid $5 Billion & Released 5 Taliban Prisoners For Deserter Bergdahl….Waging war by attacking Libya without Congressional approval….Allowed the building of Chinese bases in the South China Sea and off the coast of Somalia at the entrance to the gulf of Aden…Paying ransom to Iranian for hostages- and using foreign currency in unmarked plane….Failure to secure the Border….Illegals bringing guns, drug and diseases through the southern border….9 Trillion dollars more in debt….Disrespect for Cops….Constant disregard for the Constitution and tyrannical rule….Price of healthcare has drastically risen for those purchasing it…..Highest percentage of Americans on Food Stamps and Medicaid….Disastrous Vetting Process of “Immigrants” from Muslim Nations….Worst economic recovery since the depression with anemic GDP numbers….

    2. Tim Dake Does that go for humor in Russian? You Kremlin paid trolls really don’t get American humor.

    3. @b carb Biden is listen as a perpetrator in Ukraine court in firing of Shokin and illegal quid pro quo, he’s looking at obstruction of justice & corruption charges, Russia is old news, OBAMAgate is wats happening, only difference is there evidence Obama’s team is in deep doo doo. So much for no scandal in th Obama admin eh?

    1. The Tweatles oh, William H, the worlds biggest homophobic HOMOSEXUAL is at it again, using another alt I see to spread your vids which are some of the most hated on YouTube. Why because you don’t think people will see past your bigoted facade? Gtfo

    2. Lety Gorgona except the voters chose to be able to do that, way to say you don’t care about the will of most Americans. Gtfo

    3. @Eclipse The Gambling Ocelot Some insane voters want to abolish electoral college & have open borders, sorry that’s not how it works.

  2. Biden’s whole campaign: “Orange man bad & senile man good!” “I am Joe Biden & I forgot this message.”

    1. laksh nayyar Nazis are you Democrat’s who destroy minorities lives. I love how you can only call names like the mentally challenged delinquent that you are!

    2. laksh nayyar Sarah Palin made Biden look like an idi0t. I can’t wait to see what Trump does to “senile man!” You have already lost!

    3. Mick E Senile man can’t remember what girl he molested! “Always believe the woman!”

    1. Uncle Ed extortion, treason, campaign finance fraud, charity fraud, colluding with a foreign power against the United States government, defying the emoluments clause just to name a few.

    2. @Dale Anderson It came out of the Trump playbook. The only reason he cares about winning the election is to stay out of jail.

    1. Biden’s life is a waste. He never accomplished one thing. OK, he put on coats and ties for 50 years and flew around on Air Force 2 at taxpayer expense. That’s it. Wow….I have more respect for somebody who’s been a janitor or dishwasher for 50 years…A LOT MORE RESPECT!!!!

    1. @DAMIEN KOY Firstly, you seem to be confusing radiotherapy and chemotherapy.
      Secondly, that would not have been the case, as we study science and physiology to arrive at logical theories which undergo rigorous trials to become proven and accepted medical therapy. Rather than spewing verbal diarrhea based on gut feelings.
      In the example you listed, we know logically, that cancer is the result of a rapid and over proliferation of certain cell lines that escape programmed cell death. As such therapy is developed to disrupt and destroy such rapidly proliferating cells. The dose of which is carefully tested and individualized, not a bombardment, as you and the idiot in chief put it.
      Lastly, because even with the most basic understanding of physiology, we know that injecting disinfectants at any concentration effective enough to destroy a virus would invariably result in the indiscrimate destruction of all human cells it came in contact with.
      There’s no defence for this stupidity. Yet I can’t believe I had to sit down and explain to someone why it’s not a good idea to inject the body with disinfectants. Really speaks to the utter stupidity of Trump and his cult members.

    2. solstus so you’re basically Dr Nick from the Simpson’s lol the way you conflate and obsess over such a simple concept is a really good indicator of your inability to critically think with principle. I bet you’re still in school but already tell people you’re a doctor..

    3. @J Swett The way you have a complete inability grasp a simple concept is an indicator that you’re an idiot.

    4. @J Swett I’ll leave you and your fellow Trumptard to wallow in your ignorance. I’ve seen enough of your kind to know you can’t fix stupid.

  3. Listen, you dog faced pony soldiers, when I worked at that pool, my leg hair would stand up and the kids would jump on my lap and I loved kids jumping on my lap. But those AR-14 machine guns were loud, man. If you don’t believe that, you’re full of malarkey because families need to listen to records after dinner and Corn Flakes was a bad dude, man just ask my sister…or my wife… which one are you, man? Hi! I’m Andy Biden and I’m running for the senate!

    1. And this here is my wife, I mean sister, I mean sister wife. I;m getting ahead of myself arent I? Oh well its Super Thursday!

  4. You are forgetting something – Joe Biden cant remember what he is talking about. He has no situational awareness. Its like voting for Aunt Clara on Bewitched..

    1. HEY LISTEN MAN don’t you know that all truths to be man, created equal? you know.. you know the thing….

    1. And Trump doesn’t ramble !!!!? The quote orange “I am a genius” never stops tweeting, blaming, waffling at press interviews, bragging about failures ad infinitum. And to prove my stupidity, I voted for him in 2016. Never again. I not Biden much, but he was born with a stutter which has made him tougher than most, like Winston Churchill, Isaac Newton, James Earl Jones, Marilyn Monroe, Kenyon Martin, Ed Sheeran, Samual L Jackson, Elvis Presley, Bruce Willis, Jimmy Stewart, Gordie Lane, Tiger Woods, ……and many many more. Trump is a conn man wimp who cannot accept accountability for anything, criticism drives him nuts, and a “woose” who needs others to do his face to face bullying. A typical coward.

    2. @David Carter Biden is life long swamp rat using ur money to get by. Biden has just been listed as a perpetrator in Ukraine court in firing of Shokin and illegal quid pro quo, he’s looking at obstruction of justice & corruption charges. Biden is not a good person & he’s up to his tits in dirty corrupt scandals & then there’s Obamagate which continues to reveal Obama & Biden corruption, face it he’s toast & trump will bring back th economy & block th insane anti America democrats from ruining this country.

    3. DAMIEN KOY. You just keep believing Fox News. Good boy. Top rating at approx 23% of News Viewers, the Aussie Rupert has all his life known how to capture a healthy slice of the market by telling them what hey want to hear. The remaining 77% are spread across all those other lefty news stations like MSNBC, CNN, ABC etc also hearing what they want to hear. 😊

    4. @DAMIEN KOY case in point.

      Sure. Biden got rich do he could commute by train and Trump is the one who’s not stupid and corrupt.

    1. KM JR Do you think any Democrats care about the BS you trolls shovel. Hahahahahaha. Biden won states he didn’t even campaign in or visit, so if you think they will believe your lies, well good luck in November.

    2. @b carb They mite care wen news of Biden being listed as a perpetrator in Ukraine court in firing of Shokin and illegal quid pro quo, he’s looking at charges in Ukraine of obstruction of justice & corruption. So that’s scandal 375 in th Obama admin, not good optics for old Joe in a presidential race eh?

    1. @Mo A Will you please inform me as to why you are a lifelong republican who is voting for Biden in November?

    1. I’m waiting for that CNN poll that will show Joe Biden winning by a 98% chance, just to one hour later see he lost.

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